STALKING FPIs- Data For last 2 months

Hi All,

First Blog of this Blog series,    

Covering 1st Data Points and analysis: 

Country wise FPI AUC data activity (Monthly):

Referring to below table, Top 10 FPIs as per the size of investment is given below. This data gives the idea that who all are investing and how much. All the figures in Month column are INR in Cr. While Monthly percentage change data is in Percentage. 

Points to notice:

1. USA FPIs have invested around Rs. 20.47 lakh Crore. in May 2023. US FPIs are clearly dominating the Indian Stock market as per the data

2. Luxembourg, Ireland, Norway, France and UK combining Ly calling as UK FPIs have invested in total Rs.11.48 Lakhs Crores. in May 2023

3. Singapore FPIs have invested around Rs. 3.65 Lakhs Crores  in May 2023

4. From above 4 points it is clear that US and UK (combining Ly) FPIs are heavily invested in India than any other countries FPIs.

5. For the months Dec 22 to Feb 23, There was outflow from FPIs, March 23 was neutral and April and May 23 was positive, It looks like cash inflows and cash outflows of FPIs in last 6 months are the same. 

Now relating this data on market levels (Nifty). Nifty has given flat returns or I must say that they are doing the dance on the tune of FPIs. Refer fig. below. 

In the month of Dec 22, the Total Money inflow is Rs. 48,34,447 Crores while in May 23, It is Rs.48,79,628 Crores. which is 0.93% inflow higher than Dec 22 data. 

The market is up by just 0.36% suggesting the neutral Money flow. Consolidation Phase...

*This money flow is not only in Cash segment from FPIs were are considering all the equity related segments here.

I often get the question, why you track the data of NSE (Nifty) and not BSE? the reason is NSE not only manages Cash Segment but also Derivatives segments, NSE data include all indices like BankNifty, FinNifty etc. So NIFTY is the original complex game and not BSE.

Sectoral Shift of the money in last 2 months:

The data below in table 1. is normally getting published after every 20 days. Data suggest that on 15 days the sectorial shifts happens, Table below only covers the money flow of FPIs in different sectors fortnightly in Indian Stock Market.

 

Table 1. 

Table 2:

Table 2 Suggest the sectoral shifts in last 2 months fortnightly, we are observing that 4 sectors that are Telecommunications, Utilities, Capital Goods and Consumer services are maintaining constant or augmenting money flow, While Reality, Construction, Textile Oil Gas and consumable fuel are on loosing side. Meanwhile for the month of May Metals and mining along with IT & Automobile and components sectors showed up the positive money flow.

Now relating all above data with inclining and declining money flow and the stocks from that sectors we see clear winners as below: 

     Table 3.

The above table suggest the top performing stocks from the gaining sectors. You can track the movement of the the individual stocks for last 2 months. This table I am adding in this blog for showing the relevance only, and I will not share it hereafter to avoid speculations.

**There is no suggestion of buying, selling or holding of these above stocks at all. 

How to relate the above data points with your personal stock portfolios? 

If you are watching the sectorial shifts as and when they are published you will understand that whether to hold, buy, sell any stocks from that sector or not. It is hard to select the stock for buying from the 6000+ stock on Nifty but information is easily available anywhere about stocks and its sector. 

I am sure that individual retail investor at least will not loose heavily on any stock. Like to give a example from above data, one should understand to Trim/Exit/Average the positions in the stocks from loosing sectors like Reality, Construction and textile. 

I am not giving any trading idea here but the restructuring or rebalancing of the stocks with respect to the movements of big player will save you from losses.

So NEVER go against the MONEY FLOW OF Big Players. In Hindi there is saying, "PANI MAIN REHKAR MACHALI SE PANGA KYON LENA.."

Leave your thoughts in comment section. 

Please follow the blog to get the notification directly and if you are getting some new information which is appealing to you share it in your circle. Why should Big Player have all the fun of PROFITS? Let the retail investors like you and me also make some PROFITS....

**Disclaimer: These are all personal data analysis from the data available in public domain, There is no suggestion of any kind of trade/investment, in any segment in any underlying assets in this blog. Sawari apne saman ki khud jimmedar hai... 

Source of this Data Analysis: NSDL FPI monitor. 

Happy Investing....